Read the article but there were odd implications surrounding giving giving a seat at the table to his cousin's husband which seemed to have contributed to the departure of Larry Pitkowsky and Keith Trauner who went on to start the Good Haven Fund (GOODX) and it seems like the magic may have left with them.
There were lawsuits from ex-employees and really it just creates a very odd picture. The article also lays out a theory about how difficult it would be for the fund to unwind it's positions, if it had to, based on average volume of the stocks and a sort of unwritten rule of not wanting to exceed 20% of the day's volume, apparently the fund is more concentrated than most concentrated funds.
I've picked on this fund quite a few times along the lines of how I have picked on the Bill Miller funds, everyone gets things wrong and no one beats the market forever or under all market conditions but the risk in making not just huge bets but more like career makers (or breakers) time and again creates a consequence that probably can't be recovered from when the bets become breakers.
I suppose there is an argument to be made for an investment pool to take these kinds of outsized risks but probably not one that is available to unaccredited individual investors who bought a mutual fund because it was on the cover of some magazine as a hold forever fund because of a great ten year track record.The article leans more eccentric than egoist but perhaps ego has been a component here? Certainly that would not be a surprise anyway. Learning from someone else's downfall is no doubt opportunistic but it is also helpful.
Congratulations to the All Blacks from New Zealand on winning the Rugby World Cup. They made easy work of most of the tournament but France, whom the beat in the final, has always been difficult for them as was the case in the final but when I saw the French's first reaction to the Haka was to hold hands (not lock elbows but hold hands) I felt good about the kiwi's chances. While I know how the scoring in rugby works, I don't get the rest of it.





6 comments:
I owned Fairholme Fund for a long time; earlier this year I transitioned my money to their new, smaller fund (IIRC it's Fairholme Advantage) 'cause I thought Fairholme was getting too big and had a few odd things about it.
This is why I'm an indexer. Unless it's your full time job, you just can't keep up with all the stuff happening to the stocks/funds/ETFs you own. I don't have a subscription to Barron's; I swing by the bookstore and check the cover article every couple of weeks. I've been concentrating on figuring out the big picture much of this year, so this is something i had missed.
Stocks are very reasonably priced right now IMO. Interest rates are ridiculously low. So comparatively stocks are a real buy for now.
If the issues in Europe get resolved and simply papering over the issues should work for at least 3 to 6 months until the next crisis. Yes there will be continuing crisis IMO.
In the mean time we might get a very nice rally here into year end and possibly beyond.
SEG
Very wise comment Stephen.
Ask yourself, was getting out due to luck or skill? Are the pros really any better after they extract their fees?
Skip the trip to the bookstore, it is financial porn anyway.
Set your allocation, rebalance, and find more interesting things to do. Don't worry about things you cannot control.
This was an interesting counter to the weekend Berkopileon...
http://socialize.morningstar.com/NewSocialize/ViewPost.aspx?apptype=0&PostID=3137332
Roger,
I agree, when I first read the article on Saturday I thought a peice of the story seemed to be missing from it.
Why would Berkowitz involve himself with a character like Hernandez. This may unfold overtime to be a larger story.
Jim P
Don't you wish there were investing blogs in the 50s and 60s so we could look back at the fools that Buffett, Graham and others were seen to have been? Shady characters, questionable motives and foolhardy tactics abound and yet the misguided shareholders who stayed on seemed to do ok
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