Wikinvest Wire

Thursday, December 17, 2009

GlobalX Energy ETF

GlobalX launched its fifth out of six planned China sector funds, the most recent being the Energy Fund (CHIE). The only remaining fund from the original filing is the materials fund but it appears as though they may wait a little while for that one.

Before a look under the hood was available I had wondered how heavy it would be in the NYSE traded mega cap energy stocks, Petrochina (PTR), Sinopec (SNP) and CNOOC (CEO), and what my reaction would be.

Some of the other funds in the line limit exposure for one stock to 4.75% but the financial fund (CHIX) allows some holdings to be 10% and apparently so does the energy fund. CHIE allocates 10% each to the three mega caps listed above, though not the NYSE listings, and also China Shenhua Energy a coal company which appears to have an ADR with the designator CSUAY. For clarity the weightings of these four may actually be in the nines at the moment.

Included in the 4.75% tier are names that might be somewhat familiar like Huaneng Power (HNP) which is more of a utility company and a couple of the solar stocks like Suntech Power and Trina Solar.

Alternative energy comprises 18% of the fund. This is unusual in that solar companies tend to be equipment makers and so better thought of as industrial companies. I'm not sure if any of the alternative stocks are wind oriented or not but I know there are a few wind companies in China and I would generally find those to be a little more interesting.

My first exposure to China was through the oil majors, I've since moved elsewhere within China. The idea, which I think I first heard talked about by Puru Saxena, was that Chinese per capita use of oil was about 1.25 barrels of oil whereas in the US that number was about 24 barrels. While it is unlikely that China will get anywhere close to US per capita consumption levels a move to two and then three barrels would be enough to move the global needle and generally be a positive for the Chinese oil majors.

I believe this line of thought to be still intact and if it is then I would think CHIE would mostly capture it by virtue of its 43% weighting to oil and gas but at just 43% it probably wouldn't be a pure play. Also I am not sure if the 18% in alternatives is enough to change the volatility characteristics of the fund versus just owning PTR or the like. And to muddy the waters a little more, if the alternatives do weigh enough to increase the volatility would the 16% in "electric," which I presume to be utility stocks, neutralize that increased volatility?

From the top down I think energy is a valid way to access China. First and foremost it is not the financial sector and is it not really about exports that rely on the US consumer (yes in a way increases in manufacturing activity means more energy consumption but I don't think of it as being direct).

Tying in yesterday's comments about figuring out the best exposure to choose for country or a sector it is tough to know whether CHIE will be the best or not. The fund does not make a bad first impression but like with most new funds, it probably makes sense to see how this trades before considering any action.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Roger, carry over from yesterday.... Is there an ETP that handles countries with low debt, positive budget balance that would benefit from US currency weakness while providing some income along the way. $100,000 poker chips are a little more than I can commit to one position comfortably.thanks, sam

Roger Nusbaum said...

i am not aware of any ETF that groups countries by there macro economic attributes.

Anonymous said...

Thanks, Roger. have a safe and pleasant holiday season. With your weather, looks like lots of mat time.
Namaste,
Sam

RW said...

India small cap ETF out now http://tinyurl.com/yly2dko

Assuming the "small cap effect" is persistent across borders even those who prefer broad indexes may want to consider a little kicker.

Roger Nusbaum said...

i've never seen anyone produce research on the small cap effect existing in other markets. might be something for the crew at Bespoke to look into if they have not already done so.

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