Wikinvest Wire

Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Alternative Asset Classes Defined?

Yesterday I asked what would you include in alternative assets? What would you like to see that does not already exist in the way of accessible alternative assets?

A few people offered some thoughts and there was some half-kidding about baseball cards including a great one-liner about mothers throwing the cards away which sort of happened to me. You'll notice this card is an error but the corrected card with him on the Rangers was the rarer card, go figure.

I think getting too hung up on definitions is the wrong approach. I would say to focus more on the result a particular thing delivers and how it gets the result. It is this line of thinking that may have prompted a couple of folks to say I may be too vague about this.

First I would say things like wine and art and even my 1971 Roberto Clemente card (I have a collection of like 20 baseball cards) are not really investments easily accessed by a lot of people. I am not saying you can't make money in these things, and I think there is an Art Fund of some sort that exists in Europe but to the extent these are investments is beyond the scope of this site.

A couple of weeks ago I wrote about Dexion Absolute for TSCM which is a publicly traded fund of hedge funds that is listed in the UK under ticker DAB.L but is available in the US with ticker DAXLF.

If you look at a two year chart (hopefully that link works properly) compared to the S&P 500 there is plenty of zig versus SPX' zag. Maybe there is enough for you or maybe not but there is clearly some zig. If you find some sort of long/short product, regardless of what it trades, that consistently delivers an non-correlative result it would likely fit my definition of alternative assets.

The few that I use, so stressing moderation, generally deliver an non-correlative result. Obviously you can drill (or bog?) down in more detail but at some point it becomes counter productive (subjective opinion).

If you think about all the types of products that you know of in this realm like commodity, currency, strategic, toll roads (do these count?) and I'll include hydro funds (I do not own any of these), I can tell you there are plenty more out there that you have never heard of (I seem to find a new one every few days). The chance to find and learn about these is vast. No one will likely be an expert in all of these things. Even if you can come up with a dozen different categories of what you term at alternative it is doubtful you need more than two or three in your portfolio and even that may be too many.

If you are going to swim in this pool I would suggest being cognizant of the issue of hedging an equity portfolio with a few alternative ideas versus hedging a portfolio of alternative strategies with a few equities.

I'll finish with alternative ideas I'd like to see or see more of. For a while XShares had been on file for the AirShares EU Carbon Allowances Fund. I don't know whether this fund will ever come but something that accessed the carbon credit market is bound to come, the growth in this market would seem to be substantial and I think the correlation to US equities would be very low.

The concept behind the Macquarie Pastoral Fund is very interesting to me (livestock and farmland down under). This particular product is not exchange traded so I am going to pass but I believe if it is successful (it is a little over one year old I believe) there will be similar products that do list on an exchange somewhere.

I like the idea of products tied to economic indicators but the correlation to stocks of this sort of thing is probably high but some sort of product tied to GDP growth of a basket of emerging markets or frontier markets would be very interesting.

From the first few posts on this site in 2004 I talked about the extent to which investment products will evolve to offer the chance for much more sophistication to do-it-yourselfers (this has always been obvious) and I think the pace of this will accelerate. Just because there might be several hundred alternative (assume vague definition) products doesn't mean you need more than two in an attempt to reduce your correlation a little.

8 comments:

mOOm said...

I think one would want to put less in each alternative investment than in beta type investments. This is because one doesn't know up front if the manager will succeed in the objective of producing alpha - unless one is treating these as just other betas. So I think more than two such funds is a good idea, with only 1-2% in each.

Anonymous said...

This comment about missing the best days does not mean anything to me, what about missing the worst days? I am considering a Rydex fund RYFOX Alternative Strategies Allocation, which can include 6 different funds. I am inclined to let someone else determine the proper mix and I would expect Rydex to do a better job than I. I hope it can also perform ok in an up market although the reason I am considering the fund is a hedge for a down market. Can I get a little bit of both?

Roger Nusbaum said...

moom, you are right that my comments do assume that a given fund can reasonably deliver on it's objective and clearly no every product will do that.

I do not know that RYFOX but obviously there are two layers there. one is the underlying funds must do what they are supposed to and RYFOX' selection process must work too. I notice the fund has $3.72 million in it, are you aware of that?

Fred said...

One of the things I noticed about endowment funds and their alternative investments is the effect of the longer time horizon endowments enjoy. Endowments are essentially immortal which makes liquidity less an issue.

Anonymous said...

I notice the fund has $3.72 million in it, are you aware of that?

Yes Roger, but RYFOX only started last month and the underlying funds are all oither Rydex funds which hold much larger positions.

Anonymous said...

Are you familiar with Permanent Fund PRPFX? Do you think it qualifies as an absolute return or alternative investment type fund in a portfolio?

RW said...

The Permanent Portfolio Fund (PRPFX) allocation strategies have evolved somewhat from the original model developed by Harry Browne* but regardless it was intended as an absolute return fund from its inception and that is what it is.

*Browne, Harry; "Why the Best-Laid Investment Plans Usually Go Wrong & How You Can Find Safety and Profit in an Uncertain World", (New York: Fireside Books, 1989).

Roger Nusbaum said...

anon, apologies for not getting to this sooner, busy day.

RW, thanks for stepping up.

I just mentioned PRPFX as a proxy for absolute in a recent TSCM article.

Clearly it quacks like a duck. However it is heavy in gold and so would be prone to a selloff in gold.

CNBC has been talking about commodity down/stocks up unwind. If that happens, and it seems plausible even if doesn't come for a long time but if it does shakeout that way then chances are PRPFX would lag as I doubt it would sell down its position but that is just opinion.

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