Wikinvest Wire

Thursday, September 13, 2007

Patience

One aspect of investing that is crucial is patience. I think it is sort implied in some of the things covered here but I am not sure I have specifically written about being patient.

The best way to address this might be an example. For several years bond yields have been very low compared to historical norms.

In addition to low yields the market has not rewarded for going out further in time. With yields on the low side it makes little sense to take a yield for ten years when the same yield can be had for two years.

As this has been the case I have been writing about favoring short dated paper and as a function of spreads being narrow, not taking too much bond market risk.

At some point the curve will normalize, spreads will widen and I will have a different looking fixed income portion of the portfolio than I do now.

More specifically in the last couple of years there have been a couple of times where there have been spikes up in some yields. This was the case two years ago and I bought two year treasuries for a lot of people. Those just came due but now two year yields are very low (keep in mind I do not want to go further out) so the best thing to do is just wait.

Yields are low so prices are high. Buying high is usually not the best trade. Obviously I have exposure to some other fixed income products but for some parts of the market I am waiting, patiently.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Roger,

Totally off-topic but I know you are a fan of RIO and I noticed it closed yesterday at 52.86 and opened today at 27.10. I don't see any news but assume it split 2 for 1. Do you have any comment?

Roger Nusbaum said...

today is the ex-date for a 2-1 split.

Anonymous said...

"Yields are low so prices are high."

Ya man, that's what I love about bonds. (sigh)

Roger, what other fixed income choices do recommend? I have some FFRHX, currently yielding just over 7%. But it has a lot of junk bonds in it's mix.

And money market holdings are about to take a hit when the Fed lowers the funds rate.

Anonymous said...

Come on Roger babe... tell us what you think of FFRHX.

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