Wikinvest Wire

Friday, July 13, 2007

Questions From Yesterday

A lot of questions came in on yesterday's post that I'll try to answer here.

One reader asked about separately managed accounts from a firm called XTF that the reader says does sector and country rotation along the lines of the funds from Claymore (XRO and CRO). Specifically he wanted to know my take on paying for management versus just buying the funds. Well knowing nothing about XTF makes it difficult to offer too much here but...

My inclination about XRO and CRO is to wonder whether they can offer a slightly different, and better, twist on SPY and EFA for people who use broad-based products and to be clear I don't. XRO may be on its way to proving out to be better and we'll have to see about CRO. If they pan out they are better for the do-it-yourselfer.

The idea behind the separately managed account is probably that the XTF people believe they can add value above and beyond what was out there when they started and probably taking into consideration anything new that comes along. Any active manager (or quasi-active) that can consistently deliver a return (all things considered) that is right for you is will be worth the fee.

One reader is bugged by not being able to determine yield for some of the dividend products out there. For WisdomTree; go to the site, go to the index page for the ETF you care about and it says it right there. However that yield number is for the index. You then need to subtract the fee to get what the fund yields.

There seems to be a quirk with the WisdomTree dividends that I have not about other fund companies having to deal with and I am not sure I can even articulate well. If you look at Exxon Mobil you will see that it $1.40 annually. If you own 100 shares on ex-date you get $0.35 times 100 shares. If you buy another 100 shares after ex-date you still only get $35 in dividends on the paydate. As a function of new money coming in and only getting paid on the first 100 shares some of that funds have been/are paying less that what the index yields minus the fee.

I only use one of their funds as an across the board holdings and for smaller accounts I use a couple of sector funds and DNH and quite candidly the results have been very good compared to competing funds dividend quirks notwithstanding.

The most important thing to me is looking under the hood and making a judgment about whether this mix will be better than other mixes on a total return basis. This is sort of like stock picking in a way.

To get the yield info for Claymore just call them is all I can say.

LindaP asks about tax issues with the Claymore foreign stuff. I don't really know the mechanics here, but my hunch is that this is all netted out in the dividend you receive (this is nothing to due with paying tax here from your 1099). I would say to call and ask them for a better answer than this one.

Someone asked what I could dig up about "those lipper etf funds." What information have you found so far that you can leave here?

One little extra item. Very rarely does the difference between funds boil down to a 20 basis point difference in fees or a quirky tax thing. Often people don't see the forest for the trees (especially in a lot of articles I read) on these things. The back test on the new WisdomTree Earnings 500 ETF (EPS) has outperformed the S&P 500 by 1.89% annualized over the life of the back test (five years). I concede all of the ifs you can possibly think of but if it repeats that over the next five years that extra 19 basis points in fees for EPS over iShares S&P 500 (IVV) becomes the wrong thing to worry about.

Fees matter but they are not the most important thing the vast majority of the time.

18 comments:

Douglas said...

Roger,
What do you think about the fundamentally weighted ETS such as PRF? The backtesting shows significant outperformance of the S&P. Reasonable fee. I heard the pitch from Siegel and the fund manager at US Trust conference and while their theory is quite compelling (the S&P being overweighted in overvalued stocks and underweighted in undervalued stocks so they adjust the holdings by their fundamentals) the performance has been impressive.

Roger Nusbaum said...

PRF has outperformed SPX for 2 years, one year and YTD. So has it proved itself? Some would say yes some would say no. The back test I believe included a full market cycle but the actual trading has not done so yet.

Personally I buy into the fundamental weighting concept but prefer to integrate the narrower dividend funds into portfolios

Anonymous said...

re lipper etf funds...street.com has a video interview..wild claim that over 500 etfs are screened and that 3-7 etfs are choosen...nothing solid to indicate process, turnover, liquidity issues...identified as "advisor's" funds...does this mean limited access?....looks to me a product for a middle man to sell.. front load is 4.5%....all i see is sales sales sales...ultimate pitch is to the one stop shop 401k choices. A waste of time looking any further.

Andy said...

In this article Ben Stein seems to offer a simple solution for an ETF model: I ask is it too simple?

http://tinyurl.com/2wksze

Roger Nusbaum said...

if the lipper guy said 4.5% load obviously that is an OEF term, thank you for leaving that info. for the original commenter about these; I am not really inclined to spend time on the product.

Regarding Ben Stein's portfolio in that link. I would have to think it will do the trick over long periods of time for people who save properly but I prefer not to go that simple and 15% in emerging markets is quite a bit of an overweight.

I think that blending narrower things together instead of three or four broad things gives a better risk adjusted result which is how I try to do the job.

Andy said...

Roger,

Please correct me if I am wrong but you seem to tailor your investment planning towards people with large sums of cash; 500K plus I would think. I've seen your model portfolio (http://randomroger.blogspot.com/2006/06/etf-portfolio.html) and while I agree that diversifying is smart, having 20 or so ETF's in an average persons portfolio is not really smart. Am I correct to say that you really do not have advice for the "little" guy? Is Ben Steins portfolio more geared towards the person with less money?

Roger Nusbaum said...

first things first that post you link to was an academic exercise that I simply "took a stab at."

I don't really know what asset level Stein has in mind with that portfolio.

For someone with a $50,000 account is $100 paid out for buying ten holdings too much? If so that person could pay $4 per trade at sharebuilder. Some places are free but I do not know the particulars.

This blog is not about adivce for anyone. The point here is sharing observations. I think, but am not sure, that the posts here have different things for different people.

Stephen Drone said...

I think Stein has some great ideas and great suggested portfolios, but that particular portfolio is almost double weight on the S&P 500. The S&P 500 makes up 75% or 80% of a cap weighted total market index.

He has posted portfolios in his Yahoo column that have a portion in smallcaps instead of the total market fund.

I gave Ishares a call, and they don't know what their yield is on their newer international sector ETFs. They don't know the yield of the index itself, either.

Roger Nusbaum said...

they also don't know the avgerage market cap or median market cap.

The service from them in this regard is terrible.

Stephen Drone said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Stephen Drone said...

Here's a portfolio Stein talked about some time ago in his Yahoo column.

Andy said...

Roger,

I hope you did not take my point/question adversely as many times these blogs and email do not take into account inflection.

I take your point on this is not a site for advice.

No...paying $100 on 10 ten trades in a lot.

steve.scoot said...

Roger, keep up the good work. Just a couple of questions.
1. You mentioned that your DNH hadn't met your expectations. I own that as well as EWA and I believe DNH gives a better exposure to New Zealand (financials and telecom) than EWA, which has a heavy weight in BHP. Anyway, for the last 12 months DNH has been a better performer, and if NZ continues to
perform well, potentially will do even better. Your thoughts please.
2. I am overweight in energy (25%) and have used XLE and XOP as complementary components since
XLE is mainly the big five, and XOP is much more diversified with smaller cap producers and suppliers. Any thoughts about that strategy?
Thanks, Scoot.

Roger Nusbaum said...

steve.scoot, re-read that part about DNH again, I am very pleased with it.

Are you saying energy is 25% of your portfolio or you are overweight by 25% making your total about 12.5% of your portfolio?

Anywho, I use the energy sector as a place to go heavy foreign. My ownership universe includes Statoil (which I have mentioned many times), a Canadian oil sands stock, the DKA ETF (which I have disclosed many times, I sold BP in early Nov to buy DKA) a domestic refining stock and I recently sold a Chinese oil stock.

I view foreign energy as a place to add yield too.

tough for me to say a lot of great things for a way that I (rightly or wrongly) don't think is the best approach.

no doubt you think your approach is the best or you wouldn;t do it that way. am I right?

steve.scoot said...

5Thanks for correcting my misread on DNH.
For better or worse, my current allocation is:
Energy 28% ( 70 US/ 30 Foreign)
Foreign 22%
US big/mid 20
Infrastructure 8%
Grains/Beans 4%
Nat Res/metals 8%
Cash 10%

Of those, 40% Mutual Funds, 35% ETF's and
25% individual stocks, about 20 total holdings.
Fidelity gives you 100 free trades with a new
IRA account minimum 100k, which is like an $800 gift. Anyway, that is how I am skinning the cat at this point, and hoping commodities keep on running. Thanks for any input. Scoot.

Andy said...

Steve Drone,

What is your ideal ETF portfolio? Or if not ideal, maybe what your favor?

Thanks

Anonymous said...

Roger, the issue you note with dividend payouts from Wisdom tree could be more of a concern with the foreign focus dividend ETF where the component stocks payout only 2/year or even 1/year.

Anonymous said...

I personally dumped DNH for EWA a couple of months ago because EWA is paying out just under 4% yield whereas DNH is paying 3% less than that. I'm a yield freak. If I am going to buy & hold I demand yield.

I tracked them both for a while and ...

DNH was trading at $48.77 on 7/18/06. It is now $76.45.
EWA was trading at $19.91 on 7/19/06. It is now $29.93.

Both are pretty good holdings. Looking forward, good yield is always 20/20 vision, even though the yield changes. But it only goes down when the holding goes up in price.

The yield on EWA was just over 4% when I bought it. It is now at 3.68%.

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