Wikinvest Wire
Saturday, December 09, 2006
The Big Picture For The Week Of December 10, 2006
Toward the end I use the word yield two or three times when I should be saying the word return.
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Toward the end I use the word yield two or three times when I should be saying the word return.
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4 comments:
Hi Roger. Are you in your sauna in the video? :)
Speaking of ETF's. I really love trading all the new ones that have come out this year.
Came across Tom Lydon's http://www.etftrends.com/ which peruses that arena.
Tom's site is a regular read for me too.
Models for this week:
Timing Model - 0.5
60% long 40% cash
Allocation of long positions
MSCI EAFE Index 30%
MCCI Emerging Markets Index 40%
Russell 3000 Index - U.S. 30%
US Sector Ranks
U.S. Telecommunications 4.5
U.S. Real Estate 4.0
U.S. Financials 3.5
U.S. Consumer Goods 3.0
Small Cap Value 2.5
U.S. Leisure Goods 2.5
Mid Cap Value 2.5
U.S. Oil & Gas 2.5
International ETF Ranks
MSCI Spain Index Fund 3
MSCI Mexico Index Fund 3
MSCI Singapore Index Fund 3
MSCI Sweden Index Fund 3
FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index Fund 3
S&P Latin America 40 Index Fund 3
MSCI Malaysia Index Fund 3
MSCI Austria Index Fund 3
MSCI Emerging Markets Index Fund 3
MSCI Germany Index Fund 3
MSCI Brazil Index Fund 3
Asset Class Ranks
S&P Latin America 40 Index 4.0
FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index 3.0
Dow Jones Wilshire REIT index 3.0
Silver 3.0
MSCI Emerging Markets Index 3.0
MSCI Pacific Free ex-Japan Index 3.0
MSCI European Monetary Union Index 3.0
MSCI EAFE Value Index 2.0
S&P Europe 350 Index 2.0
MSCI Hong Kong Index 2.0
Emerging Markets continue to outpace everything else, but how long will it last? My timing model is still locked on 0.5 and equity exposure is 60% - quite low considering the US indexes would have to fall at least 4% before my trend indicators start turning negative. The sentiment models are whispering "risk is high". We shall see.
Roger, good report on ETF news.
Have you investigated/have an opinion
on 'structured notes' tied to commodity indice? Jay Charles.
Examples follow:
"Uhlmann Price Securities is pleased to offer three new Structured Products for the month of December:
· 14 Month Accelerated Return Notes Linked to the Rogers International Commodity Index Excess Return issued by Merrill Lynch (Aa3/AA- rating). These medium-term Notes have an initial offering price of $10 per note and offer 3x upside participation, capped at 17-21%, with one-to-one downside participation. Orders must be place by 2 P.M. on December 19, 2006. To review a copy of the term sheet and prospectus, please click here
· 14 Month Accelerated Return Notes Linked to the Energy Select Sectors Index issued by Merrill Lynch (Aa3/AA- rating). These medium-term Notes have an initial offering price of $10 per note and offer 3x upside participation, capped at 17-21%, with one-to-one downside participation. Orders must be place by 2 P.M. on December 20, 2006. To review a copy of the term sheet and prospectus, please click here
· JP Morgan Chase 5 Year Commodity Linked CDs linked to a basket consisting of Aluminum, Copper, Oil, the GSCI Agriculture Excess Return Index, the GSCI Livestock Excess Return Index and the GSCI Precious Metals Excess Return Index. These CDs offer an upside participation rate of at least 100%, set on the pricing date, and at least 32% downside participation. Orders must be place by 2 P.M. on December 22, 2006. To review a copy of the disclosure statement, please click here
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